Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.656991 0.735652 0.821077 0.920911 1.034602 1.160295 1.310126
2025-02-23 0.538597 0.646648 0.773526 0.934268 1.133553 1.373878 1.687705
2025-03-02 0.458320 0.575368 0.719909 0.912958 1.166189 1.490004 1.940170
2025-03-09 0.416066 0.541975 0.704114 0.930508 1.242085 1.661131 2.276390
2025-03-16 0.373989 0.502331 0.673481 0.921567 1.277213 1.776692 2.545648
2025-03-23 0.345591 0.477143 0.658189 0.929695 1.333739 1.924362 2.874800
2025-03-30 0.315597 0.446291 0.631174 0.916851 1.356295 2.022041 3.136996
2025-04-06 0.292119 0.422310 0.611226 0.911372 1.387625 2.133892 3.432118
2025-04-13 0.263171 0.387653 0.572239 0.872577 1.362041 2.151771 3.572002
2025-04-20 0.249696 0.375082 0.565277 0.882619 1.414664 2.300322 3.951008
2025-04-27 0.237720 0.363734 0.559024 0.892727 1.467544 2.453522 4.355851
2025-05-04 0.226244 0.352200 0.551364 0.899430 1.514571 2.600348 4.766070
2025-05-11 0.214791 0.340105 0.542231 0.903453 1.558409 2.748169 5.202518
2025-05-18 0.206396 0.332420 0.539783 0.918806 1.624118 2.943457 5.760869
2025-05-25 0.192307 0.314145 0.517983 0.897663 1.619822 3.004631 6.050387
2025-06-01 0.185944 0.308544 0.517474 0.914907 1.689557 3.217096 6.690943
2025-06-08 0.175944 0.295923 0.503669 0.906131 1.707516 3.326968 7.120185
2025-06-15 0.169310 0.288755 0.499008 0.914107 1.759236 3.511451 7.745310
2025-06-22 0.160217 0.276582 0.484382 0.901504 1.767556 3.604396 8.167520
2025-06-29 0.152813 0.267010 0.473889 0.896129 1.790262 3.730710 8.689133
2025-07-06 0.141652 0.249861 0.448109 0.858060 1.739779 3.688417 8.780934
2025-07-13 0.137370 0.245292 0.445920 0.867914 1.794159 3.890633 9.534363
2025-07-20 0.133349 0.240962 0.443875 0.877833 1.849512 4.101179 10.343676